Forex Market Forecasting with Fundamental and Technical Analysis

October 9, 2008 | By admin In forex | Comments(0)

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Foreign Exchange Market, called Forex is a huge market of currency trading in which the commodity is money itself. In the currencies market, traders are buying and selling foreign currencies. They are trading dollars for Euros, pounds for yen, and so forth. We trade currencies always in pairs, so although we trade for example pounds for dollars, we either sell a pair GBP/USD or buy it. Buying is called “going long” and selling “going short”.

National currencies fluctuate from day to day based on predictions of the nation’s gross domestic product and other factors. As with the stock market, the goal is to buy low and sell high; buy a lot of a particular currency when it’s weak, then sell it when it becomes stronger.

Although we talk of “buying” and “selling” dollars, Euros, pounds, yen and francs, the transactions performed in the Forex are not literal. That is, if you want to buy 10,000 pounds, you don’t have to withdraw the equivalent U.S. dollars from your bank account and swap them out for a big stack of pounds. To know when the right time to enter a trade is we forecast Forex markets. It is not easy and nobody gets it 100% right. With the proper discipline and money management being 65% right can be very profitable.

There are two main ways of forecasting the Forex Market: fundamental and technical analysis.

Fundamental analysis means forecasting the market based on external factors, like political moves, government involvement and social movements. A currency rate could drop because a country’s government is unstable at the moment, or increase because the country has just elected a popular new leader. Anything that can affect a nation’s economy can affect the exchange rates, and that’s what a fundamental analyst uses to guess the Forex market’s future.

The technical analysis means examining past market actions and using that data to predict the future. Previous trends in most areas of life are usually good indicators of the future; Forex is no different. People have not changed much in the decades since the Forex market was created. Smart analysts learned to look at the big picture, to skip the minor details and examine trends over a longer period of time.

Generally technical analysis is better for a day trading and fundamental analysis for intraday trading, but many traders use a mixture of both.

To get a free Forex Currency Trading course go to: Forex Trading Machine

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Human Weaknesses in Forex Currency Trading

July 20, 2008 | By admin In forex | Comments(0)

There are different human weaknesses that are obstacles to become a profitable Forex currency trader. To avoid these weaknesses first we must know them.

The main human weaknesses are:

1. Fear

By using leverage we can make a lot of money in Forex, but we can also lose a lot of money. The situation in the currency market can change very quickly. Almost everyone is afraid to lose money. The fear of losing money sometimes paralyzes inexperienced traders who miss good trades because of the fear.

2. Low Confidence

A little similar but different from fear is low confidence. Sometimes some traders start making good profits, but then, because of low or lack of confidence they are afraid to lose what they have gained. So they take only a little profit and run, wasting opportunities to make a really good profit.

3. Hesitation

When we hesitate we can’t decide to enter a trade or not to enter. We are thinking and hesitating, while in the meantime missing best chances.

4. Greed

We want more and more. When we should take 1% profit we want at least 2%. When we have 5% profit we want 7%. But Forex market is very volatile and the situation can change quickly. Because of greed the profitable trade can change into losing trade.

5. Negligence

There is no place for negligence in Forex. A little negligence can cause big losses. Account’s money sometimes gets lost because of tiny negligence.

6. Tiredness

It can be very tiring sitting in front of a computer and following trades. When we get tired it is easy to make mistakes and to lose a trade.

7. No Discipline

Without discipline there is no way to be a good and successful currency trader. A disciplined trader will stop losing trades or takes profit when it is the best time. Undisciplined trader will allow his emotions to take over and will continue trading hoping for the losing trade to turn into the profitable one. Or while winning, he or she won’t take profit at the right time being greedy and wanting to take more profit. It is possible to control our weaknesses by being disciplined, but without discipline there’s no way to be successful.

There are of course more human weaknesses that are obstacles to becoming a successful trader, but these mentioned above are the main ones. The way to defeat these weaknesses is by following a plan and by being disciplined.

Another way to avoid problems with human weaknesses is to use automated Forex robots. In chess robots often beat humans; similarly good Forex trading robots can be very good at currency trading. Like always in Forex we should never start using robots in real trades without testing them first trading on demo.

To watch videos about Forex currency trading go to Forex Videos

To eliminate human weaknesses in the currency trading go to: Forex Auto Pilot
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