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Forex Market Forecasting with Fundamental and Technical Analysis

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Foreign Exchange Market, called Forex is a huge market of currency trading in which the commodity is money itself. In the currencies market, traders are buying and selling foreign currencies. They are trading dollars for Euros, pounds for yen, and so forth. We trade currencies always in pairs, so although we trade for example pounds for dollars, we either sell a pair GBP/USD or buy it. Buying is called “going long” and selling “going short”.

National currencies fluctuate from day to day based on predictions of the nation’s gross domestic product and other factors. As with the stock market, the goal is to buy low and sell high; buy a lot of a particular currency when it’s weak, then sell it when it becomes stronger.

Although we talk of “buying” and “selling” dollars, Euros, pounds, yen and francs, the transactions performed in the Forex are not literal. That is, if you want to buy 10,000 pounds, you don’t have to withdraw the equivalent U.S. dollars from your bank account and swap them out for a big stack of pounds. To know when the right time to enter a trade is we forecast Forex markets. It is not easy and nobody gets it 100% right. With the proper discipline and money management being 65% right can be very profitable.

There are two main ways of forecasting the Forex Market: fundamental and technical analysis.

Fundamental analysis means forecasting the market based on external factors, like political moves, government involvement and social movements. A currency rate could drop because a country’s government is unstable at the moment, or increase because the country has just elected a popular new leader. Anything that can affect a nation’s economy can affect the exchange rates, and that’s what a fundamental analyst uses to guess the Forex market’s future.

The technical analysis means examining past market actions and using that data to predict the future. Previous trends in most areas of life are usually good indicators of the future; Forex is no different. People have not changed much in the decades since the Forex market was created. Smart analysts learned to look at the big picture, to skip the minor details and examine trends over a longer period of time.

Generally technical analysis is better for a day trading and fundamental analysis for intraday trading, but many traders use a mixture of both.

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Why Trade in the Forex Market?

The Foreign Exchange Market (FOREX) is three times larger than the total amount of the stocks and futures markets combined. It is becoming more and more popular.

Because there is neither physical location nor a central exchange for FOREX it can operate 24 hours, moving across the time zones from one financial center to another, from Monday to Friday.

There are great opportunities in the FOREX market because of the constant movements of the exchange rates. The currencies are always traded in pairs, and traders can make profits both when the prices go up and down. There is always good market trading opportunity for a FOREX trader in any economic outlook.

Everybody can learn how to trade in FOREX. Of course the importance of proper education and training before entering live trading cannot be overestimated. Without it the chance of success is almost zero. Fortunately everybody can practice with a demo account before entering live trading. The good thing about FOREX is that the amount of money someone needs to place a trade (known as “margin”) is all that can be lost.

Of course, with the proper self-taught education traders will win more than they will lose, but everybody should know that despite the high leverage of FOREX trading (200:1 is possible, which means that when a trader puts up $1 the trading vendor will allow the trader to trade it as if the trader had $200), it’s still less risky than futures (commodities) trading. And when someone trades stocks he or she can’t get this type of leverage. Margin is low and leverage is high, so there is possibility of big profits (but losses, too).

There are no commissions in FOREX. No exchange fees, no government fees, no brokerage fees and no clearing fees. There are no middlemen, too. Clients interact directly with the market.

Unlike in other markets it is possible to start trading with only $100 with a mini-account. The transaction cost is very low and the FOREX market is the most liquid, so the trader can enter or exit it in almost any condition.

Because of the FOREX market’s liquidity and twenty 24 hours continuous trading, dangerous trading gaps and limit moves are eliminated. Orders are executed very quickly, without slippage. With a good research it is easy to find good brokers, who will automatically close some or all of open positions if the account’s equity falls below the level required to hold the positions. It is impossible to lose more than the amount of money in FOREX account.

Everybody can trade online from home. It is a great possibility for people who want to work from home, but don’t like selling and marketing. All that is needed to start trading is a computer with Internet access and a proper training.

Because the FOREX market is so huge, there is no possibility of someone controlling the market price for a long time. There is no possibility of insider trading and the governments influence is very limited.
Trading currencies is much simpler than stocks. There are only a few major currency pairs. No need to think which of thousands of stocks to trade.

There is no waiting for months like in futures market. Trades in FOREX rarely exceed two days.
The enormous marketplace of FOREX will grow bigger as more people are joining it every day.


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